Skip to main content

The first substantive sign I have seen that Barack Obama may not be re-elected

I have said all along that I thought he would be re-elected, and that one should not allow one's preferences to get in the way of data analysis.

But today The New York Times/CBS poll reveals the following:

68% of the American people want the Supreme Court to overturn the individual mandate in healthcare.

41% of the American people want the Supreme Court to overturn the entire program.

Only 24% of the American people want the Supreme Court to sustain the whole thing.

If President Obama's signature accomplishment has begun to bleed Democrats, as this poll would suggest, one of the major "success" narratives of his presidency is gone.

That doesn't mean he can't win, but it does mean that "hope and change" has to go right out the window.

Comments

Dana Garrett said…
I'm convinced he won't win but not because of Obamacare. The economy is in the crapper and most of the most powerful interests in the USA are lined up against him, especially so now thanks to the Supreme Court.
Anonymous said…
I heard Dick Morris give his breakdown of the polling numbers and he predicted a Romney landslide.

I think Morris is a bit of a putz, but I respect his view on campaigns.

He said if you look at some of the States it may show 45% Obama 40% Romney, and it's reported as a 5% Obama lead. In reality it's a 10% Romney lead. The undecided's know they are not voting for Obama, it's either Romney or stay home.

Smerconish asked him when will know on election night and Morris said you can go to bed right after they announce Romney won Pennsylvania.

JG
Eric Dondero said…
Libertarians need to revise strategy.

A Romney landslide is the absolute best thing for the Libertarian Party.

This has happened only one other time in LP history - 1984. Reagan beat Mondale with 49 states.

Why did the LP fail that year, miserably? Because we had the very worst candidate ever in Libertarian Party history - David Bergland.

Now, the Libertarian Party has the very best ticket in LP history Johnson/Gray.

With a Romney landslide, Republicans, particularly libertarian-leaning GOPers will feel safe voting for Johnson/Gray.

This is why I'm for Mitt Romney, AND for Gary Johnson. Why not the best of both worlds?
Eric Dondero said…
Breaking News...

Rand Paul endorses Mitt Romney for President.
Will McVay said…
4 more years of Obama or maybe 8 years of Romney? Give me Obama. If the GOP loses, they may nominate someone like Ron Paul or Rand Paul in '16. The Dems won't do that. Romney is NO libertarian.

Popular posts from this blog

A Libertarian Martin Luther King Jr. Day post

In which we travel into interesting waters . . . (for a fairly long trip, so be prepared) Dr. King's 1968 book, Where do we go from here:  chaos or community? , is profound in that it criticizes anti-poverty programs for their piecemeal approach, as John Schlosberg of the Center for a Stateless Society  [C4SS] observes: King noted that the antipoverty programs of the time “proceeded from a premise that poverty is a consequence of multiple evils,” with separate programs each dedicated to individual issues such as education and housing. Though in his view “none of these remedies in itself is unsound,” they “all have a fatal disadvantage” of being “piecemeal,” with their implementation having “fluctuated at the whims of legislative bodies” or been “entangled in bureaucratic stalling.”   The result is that “fragmentary and spasmodic reforms have failed to reach down to the profoundest needs of the poor.” Such single-issue approaches also have “another common failing — ...

Libertarian National Committee Deathwatch Part 1

As the LNC continues to lurch towards collapse, with the latest news of mass layoffs at HQ, I've decided to begin tracking those things leading the national party to irrelevance, even as state and local parties gain power. As news, rumors and rhetoric break out, I shall chronicle them in this ongoing series at Delaware Libertarian. Organizations approaching failure have a number of characteristics. One of the most striking is renunciation of their purpose and effort to reinvent themselves as a "me-too" provider of services in the marketplace. In this, the LNC has been on a collision course with destiny for a while now. Recently, for example, it hired Republican Party web site developer TerraEclipse to redesign the LNC web site . Terra created a web site very similar to those of the clients it brags most about -- far-right Republican conservatives like Tom McClintock and BJ Lawson. A quick look at the web site they built for the LNC is instructive. The tagline on the ...

The disturbing decline of the Delaware blogosphere: a very unfortunate Around the Horn (even if it's not Friday)

I've noticed a change in my own blog-checking habits over the past several weeks, and I don't know if it's just me or the reality of the last month of a divisive political campaign. I automatically used to check out Delawareliberal first and several times a day, because it was where I could find edgy, thought-provoking, and (dare I say it) funny banter going on. These days visit several other spots first, and my visits to DL are both shorter and less engaged. Why? Because the combination of invading neo-con commenters with the stridency of some of the major contributors has led to such pleasant exchanges as a post dedicated to labeling another blogger racist by donviti, whose own sense of provocative humor is generally so far out there that he makes John Belushi doing Samurai bartender on the SNL look positively pro-Asian. Or I can find Delawaredem and jason periodically spewing the idea that anybody who is not a liberal or progressive Democrat is somehow a non-American,...