Thursday, July 10, 2008

The Barr/Munger effect is more complex than most analysts think

With Libertarian Presidential candidate Bob Barr and North Carolina gubernatorial candidate Michael Munger both polling at around 5% in the Tarheel State, you might assume that this 5% is all the same people.

Not so, reports Tom Jensen of Public Policy Polling:

Folks who are supporting a Libertarian for one office are not necessarily planning to vote for the party's 'ticket.' For instance a plurality of Bob Barr's supporters, 37%, support Bev Perdue for Governor. 29% support Michael Munger and 27% are for Pat McCrory. There is a similar trend when looking at how Munger's supporters plan to go for President- 41% are for John McCain, 29% support Barr, and 27% plan right now to vote for Obama.

Curiouser and curiouser, says Alice....

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